AI & the open web

Publishers Are Trading Search Traffic for Owned Audiences as the Open Web Enters Its Post-Traffic Era

Oğuz Şimşek ·3 min read Share Print
In this piece
    Figure People Inc. told Digiday that session-based revenue fell from 61% to 57% of total digital revenue between…
    TOLD DIGIDAYPeople Inc. told Digiday that session-based revenue fell from 61% to 57% of total digital revenue between…. 61 against 57.57TOLD DIGIDAY6157
    Publisher Desk

    The open web isn’t dying, but it is being rebuilt around a different traffic source. People Inc. told Digiday that session-based revenue fell from 61% to 57% of total digital revenue between Q2 2025 and Q2 2026. Core sessions dropped 22% and Google search traffic fell 40%, both year-over-year. Non-session revenue — subscriptions, licensing, commerce, creator monetization — grew 16% year-over-year, rising from 39% to 43% of the total. Jon Roberts, People Inc.’s chief innovation officer, put the strategic shift plainly: “If you want to grow, you want to be more than an open web business,” while adding the company isn’t abandoning search traffic outright — “We will always be an open web business… And we will also build on other platforms.”

    A Brainlabs study across 54 clients backs the same pattern from a different angle. Organic search traffic fell 10.5% after AI Overviews became widespread. AI platform referrals rose 163%, and AI-driven conversions — purchases, sign-ups — jumped 335%. Fewer visits, converting far better, from a source publishers barely monetized a year ago.

    The numbers in this piece

    22%Core sessions decline
    10.5%Organic search traffic decline
    163%AI platform referrals growth

    01Why this matters for publishers and buyers

    Session volume is no longer the whole scoreboardA publisher whose GAM/AdX stack is still tuned purely for pageview volume is optimizing for the shrinking half of the business; the growing half (subscriptions, licensing, AI referral value) barely touches traditional ad inventory today.
    The AI Overviews trade is asymmetric, and that's the operator storyRaptive's chief strategy officer Paul Bannister named the real risk: "The algorithm can deprioritize you tomorrow and effectively, you're dead." Traffic sourced from one ranking system, with no owned-audience backstop, is not a durable yield base.
    Non-search platforms are becoming real distribution, not just brand exposureThe Athletic generated 50 million views from sports creator video alone. Owned-format content built for a specific platform can out-earn passive search referral at scale.
    Forbes is naming the harder question out loudChief innovation officer Nina Gould asked: "How can we subsidize high quality, authoritative, trustworthy content when traditional models are disrupted very quickly and new ones aren't catching up?" — a question every yield operator should be asking about their own inventory mix, not just editorial.

    02What publishers should do

    03The bottom line

    None of this is a search-traffic collapse story anymore — it’s a monetization-mix story, and the publishers ahead of it (People Inc., The Athletic, Forbes) are the ones treating non-session revenue as a first-class yield category rather than a hedge. For any operator running GAM/AdX, the open web’s post-traffic era isn’t a reason to panic about volume; it’s a reason to stop pricing every session the same way.

    Sources & caveats

    Sources: Digiday, “Media Briefing: The post-traffic era of the open web is taking shape” (27 August 2026), for the People Inc. Q2 2025 vs. Q2 2026 revenue and traffic figures, the Brainlabs 54-client study, The Athletic’s creator-video figure, and all quoted statements from Jon Roberts, Nina Gould, Paul Bannister, and Jamie Samuel. The yield-strategy framing and guidance for GAM/AdX operators is APH desk analysis.

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    More from this issue

    Ran alongside this piece in the Weekly of 27 August 2026 —