The story. The first publisher data on Apple’s Safari block shows eCPMs down 10.5% among readers who have updated. Only about 8% of Aditude’s Safari users had updated, so the sitewide loss is small today and grows with adoption. (Digiday, 12 October 2026)
The numbers in this piece
01What happened
- Safari is a minor share of ad delivery. Aditude’s customers see 11.7% of their ads on Safari on iPhone and iPad, and 11.4% of ad revenue.
- Updated readers are paid less. Among readers on the latest update, eCPMs fell 10.5%.
- Few readers have updated. About 8% of users had upgraded, and Aditude puts the overall revenue hit at about 1%.
- Subscription publishers see no change. Two senior commercial executives at news publishers reported no impact, and one CRO put that down to a mostly subscription-based business.
- The timing is bad. Digiday notes the fourth quarter is when ad tech vendors and publishers earn most of their money, and the block landed at its start.
- A fix is not near. Apple’s fix for the current iOS version is not expected until the end of the month at the earliest.
02What it means inside a GAM network
Read the 10.5% as a floor. It measures readers who updated early, and the adoption curve is still ahead. Scott Messer, who advises publishers through Messer Media, expects the impact to grow as more people install the update.
The 1% figure is easy to check. Safari’s 11.4% revenue share multiplied by a 10.5% eCPM drop gives about 1.2%, so Aditude’s estimate looks like the loss if every Safari reader had updated. That arithmetic is APH desk analysis, not Aditude’s stated method.
The exposure depends on your mix. A publisher with a heavy Safari-on-iPhone audience and open-auction demand sits above that average. A subscription-led site sits below it.
The mechanism matters for how you respond. Apple blocked small pieces of code that let ad tech companies recognise the same reader across sites. Demand that bids on a recognised user loses its signal on those readers, which is consistent with a lower clearing price.
Andrew Casale, CEO of Index Exchange, said his company is largely unaffected because it is not in the identity business. Supply-path partners that do not depend on cross-site IDs are less exposed.
One limit on the evidence: this is one vendor’s customer base, and Digiday’s account does not say how Aditude’s publishers are weighted by vertical or geography.
The loss is small today and tied to how fast readers update.
03What publishers should do about it
04The bottom line
The loss is small today and tied to how fast readers update. Measure Safari by iOS version now, so you know your exposure before the adoption curve decides it.